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AEK vs Iraklis FC

Greece Greece

Super League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEK host Iraklis FC in the Super League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Iraklis FC have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while AEK have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, AEK have won 2 to Iraklis FC's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2017, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.21 xG vs 0.68) point toward AEK. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AEK
22%
Draws
18%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Iraklis FC haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Iraklis FC
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.63 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2017 Super League
Iraklis FC vs AEK
2:2
Sep 26, 2016 Super League
AEK vs Iraklis FC
0:0
Feb 20, 2016 Super League
Iraklis FC vs AEK
1:1
Feb 4, 2016 Greek Cup
Iraklis FC vs AEK
0:1
Jan 28, 2016 Greek Cup
AEK vs Iraklis FC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 68 / 100
Iraklis FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Iraklis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: AEK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Iraklis FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Iraklis FC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
17 May
AEK
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
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Iraklis FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
28 Mar
Kalamata
1 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Mar
Iraklis FC
3 : 1
Karditsa
14 Mar
Iraklis FC
0 : 0
Niki Volos
08 Mar
Asteras Tripolis B
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kalamata00000:00
2Iraklis FC00000:00
3OFI Crete00000:00
4Panathinaikos00000:00
5AEK00000:00
6Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
7Aris00000:00
8Asteras Tripolis00000:00
9PAOK00000:00
10Levadiakos00000:00
11Atromitos00000:00
12Panetolikos00000:00
13Kifisia00000:00
14Volos00000:00
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)