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AEK vs Iraklis FC

Greece Greece

Super League Allwyn Arena, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Varga B.
Assist: Marin R.
19' Event
Jovic L.
Assist: Pilo S.
46'
Sub
Kushta K. In: Koljic E.
Out: Kushta K.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
AEK
35%
Draws
21%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Iraklis FC haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Iraklis FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Iraklis FC
4:0
Feb 13, 2017 Super League
Iraklis FC vs AEK
2:2
Sep 26, 2016 Super League
AEK vs Iraklis FC
0:0
Feb 20, 2016 Super League
Iraklis FC vs AEK
1:1
Feb 4, 2016 Greek Cup
Iraklis FC vs AEK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovic L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Varga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Iraklis FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 85 / 100
Iraklis FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Iraklis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: AEK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Iraklis FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Iraklis FC
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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Iraklis FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
29 Aug
Volos
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
22 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Iraklis FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)