Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Allwyn Arena, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Apostolakis I.
22'
Mantalos P.
57'
Sub
Eliasson N. In: Varga B.
Out: Eliasson N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with OFI Crete advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
AEK
15%
Draws
17%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • OFI Crete haven't matched AEK's recent run of results.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on AEK taking it.
  • AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AEK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK OFI Crete
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Salcedo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 95 / 100
OFI Crete 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AEK scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

OFI Crete let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

AEK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS OFI Crete
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
08 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Athens Kallithea
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0
St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
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OFI Crete

(Away)
01 Aug
Willem II
2 : 1
OFI Crete
28 Jul
NAC Breda
3 : 2
OFI Crete
25 Jul
G.A. Eagles
4 : 0
OFI Crete
17 May
OFI Crete
3 : 1
Volos
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Atromitos 1
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
Aris 2
Panetolikos 0
Levadiakos -
TBD -
Volos 0
Kifisia 1
AEK -
TBD -
OFI Crete 2
Asteras Tripolis 0
Quarter-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
PAOK 2
Panathinaikos 3
Aris 0
Levadiakos 2
Kifisia 0
AEK 0
OFI Crete 1
Semi-finals
PAOK 3
Panathinaikos 0
Levadiakos 1
OFI Crete 2
Final
PAOK 2
OFI Crete 3