Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs OFI Crete

Greece Greece

Super Cup Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
2 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Marin R.
38' Event
Jovic L.
Assist: Marin R.
43'
Apostolakis I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AEK
30%
Draws
33%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AEK have won more games recently than OFI Crete.
  • AEK are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OFI Crete, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 20%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK OFI Crete
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Super Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:3
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs OFI Crete
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
OFI Crete vs AEK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Androutsos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostoulas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 40 / 100
OFI Crete 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: AEK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

OFI Crete has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS OFI Crete
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
02 Sept
Chrisoupolis
0 : 2
AEK
30 Aug
Kifisia
1 : 1
AEK
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OFI Crete

(Away)
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
06 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Kifisia
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
30 Aug
Aris
2 : 1
OFI Crete
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
AEK 2
OFI Crete 3