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AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Allwyn Arena, Athens
AEK Logo

AEK

1 - 1
FT
Olympiacos Piraeus Logo

Olympiacos Piraeus

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Jovic L.
41' Event
Rodinei
Assist: Podence D.
43'
Moukoudi H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AEK
20%
Draws
35%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 95 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AEK went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Olympiacos Piraeus has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Olympiacos Piraeus
3 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)