Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Allwyn Arena, Athens
AEK Logo

AEK

1 - 1
FT
Olympiacos Piraeus Logo

Olympiacos Piraeus

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Jovic L.
41' Event
Rodinei
Assist: Podence D.
43'
Moukoudi H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AEK
17%
Draws
13%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Olympiacos Piraeus.
  • Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEK
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Koita A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodinei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 77 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

AEK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Olympiacos Piraeus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
17 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 1
Sittard
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK 32 21 9 2 57:20 72
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 32 19 9 4 51:17 66
3 PAOK 32 18 10 4 59:25 64
4 Panathinaikos 32 14 10 8 47:33 52
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)