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AEL Larissa vs AE Iraklis Larissa

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Tsirigotis T.

AI Match Summary

AEL Larissa in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEL Larissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AEL Larissa
30%
Draws
6%
AE Iraklis Larissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • AE Iraklis Larissa haven't matched AEL Larissa's recent run of results.
  • AEL Larissa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and AEL Larissa have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
AE Iraklis Larissa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa AE Iraklis Larissa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.36 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Super League 2
AE Iraklis Larissa vs AEL Larissa
0:3
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs AE Iraklis Larissa
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs AE Iraklis Larissa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsirigotis T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

AE Iraklis Larissa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 85 / 100
AE Iraklis Larissa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa AE Iraklis Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AEL Larissa scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

AEL Larissa has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AE Iraklis Larissa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS AE Iraklis Larissa
1.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
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AE Iraklis Larissa

(Away)
04 Oct
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 1
AO Trikala
26 Sept
Pierikos
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
17 Jun
Veria
3 : 0
AE Iraklis Larissa
10 Jun
AE Iraklis Larissa
0 : 0
Makedonikos Neapolis
03 Jun
Panathinaikos B
3 : 1
AE Iraklis Larissa
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