Sport Picks
AEL Larissa vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Greek Cup AEL FC Arena, Larissa 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bousis M.
21'
21'
Koutsogoulas A.
34'
34'
Gonzalez A.
Assist: Fortounis K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- AEL Larissa haven't matched Olympiacos Piraeus's recent run of results.
- Model gives AEL Larissa a 37% chance of winning this.
- Olympiacos Piraeus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Olympiacos Piraeus, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Olympiacos Piraeus have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 19%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEL Larissa | Olympiacos Piraeus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Greek Cup
AEL Larissa vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:4
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEL Larissa
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
Mar 14, 2021 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:3
Dec 20, 2020 Super League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs AEL Larissa
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AEL Larissa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Olympiacos Piraeus Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AEL Larissa 58 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AEL Larissa Olympiacos Piraeus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: AEL Larissa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
AEL Larissa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Olympiacos Piraeus has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
AEL Larissa VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AEL Larissa
(Home) 03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2 AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4 AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1 AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 PAOK B
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0 Zakynthos
06 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 1 Karditsa
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4 Olympiacos Piraeus
06 Aug
AEL Larissa
0 : 0 Zakynthos
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Olympiacos Piraeus
(Away) 20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1 Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1 OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2 Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
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20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
02 Sept
AEL Larissa
0 : 4 Olympiacos Piraeus
30 Aug
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
11 Aug
Nijmegen
2 : 1 Olympiacos Piraeus
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Asteras Tripolis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Aris | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PAOK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 10 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 11 | Marko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 12 | Kifisia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Niki Volos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
