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AEL Larissa vs Panserraikos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEL Larissa host Panserraikos in the Super League 2. This one's hard to separate. AEL Larissa have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Panserraikos's 1.03 scored and 1.72 conceded. Head-to-head, AEL Larissa have won 2 to Panserraikos's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward AEL Larissa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AEL Larissa
30%
Draws
27%
Panserraikos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Panserraikos have won more games recently than AEL Larissa.
  • Model gives AEL Larissa a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
Panserraikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Panserraikos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panserraikos
0:1
Jan 24, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Panserraikos
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super League
Panserraikos vs AEL Larissa
0:2
Aug 12, 2025 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs Panserraikos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 85 / 100
Panserraikos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Panserraikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: AEL Larissa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AEL Larissa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Panserraikos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Panserraikos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 6

Panserraikos

(Away)
10 Oct
Panserraikos
2 : 1
Chrisoupolis
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1
Panserraikos
27 Sept
Panserraikos
4 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus B
20 Sept
Athens Kallithea
2 : 1
Panserraikos
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 Athens Kallithea 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
4 Panserraikos 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
5 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Ellas Syrou 6 2 3 1 9:4 9
7 Panthrakikos 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
8 Niki Volos 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
9 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
10 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
11 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
12 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
13 Chrisoupolis 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
14 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)