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Stadium Background

Junior vs Dep. Pereira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Junior host Dep. Pereira in the Primera A. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Junior have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Dep. Pereira's 0.75 scored and 1.46 conceded. Past meetings favor Junior slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.50, favoring Junior. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Junior
20%
Draws
20%
Dep. Pereira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Junior lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pereira.
  • Model gives Junior a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Junior Clean Sheet 16%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Dep. Pereira
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.53 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Junior
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Pereira
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Junior
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Pereira
3:1
May 23, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Junior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 75 / 100
Dep. Pereira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Dep. Pereira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Pereira conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Dep. Pereira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Dep. Pereira
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Junior
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
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Dep. Pereira

(Away)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)