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AEL Larissa vs Zakynthos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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Match Events

8' Event
Makris A.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 game between AEL Larissa and Zakynthos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEL Larissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
AEL Larissa
35%
Draws
10%
Zakynthos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Zakynthos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AEL Larissa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AEL Larissa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
Zakynthos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Zakynthos
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 15
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Zakynthos
1:0
Aug 6, 2026 Club Friendly
AEL Larissa vs Zakynthos
0:0
May 16, 2016 Football League
Zakynthos vs AEL Larissa
0:1
Jan 17, 2016 Football League
AEL Larissa vs Zakynthos
2:0
Mar 28, 2015 Football League - Group 2
AEL Larissa vs Zakynthos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Makris A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Zakynthos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 58 / 100
Zakynthos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Zakynthos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Larissa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: AEL Larissa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AEL Larissa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Zakynthos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Zakynthos conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Zakynthos
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
03 Oct
Niki Volos
2 : 2
AEL Larissa
27 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
PAOK B
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
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Zakynthos

(Away)
05 Oct
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
27 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Zakynthos
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
12 Sept
AEL Larissa
1 : 0
Zakynthos
06 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 1
Zakynthos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)