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AEL Larissa W vs Ergotelis W Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Division A Women 2021/2022 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ergotelis W in this Division A Women 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ergotelis W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
AEL Larissa W
15%
Draws
76%
Ergotelis W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ergotelis W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ergotelis W lately — more wins on the board than AEL Larissa W.
  • Win probability leans Ergotelis W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ergotelis W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
AEL Larissa W Clean Sheet 16%
Ergotelis W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa W Ergotelis W
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.28 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Ergotelis W
1:4
Apr 30, 2023 Division A Women
Ergotelis W vs AEL Larissa W
2:0
May 22, 2022 Division A Women
Ergotelis W vs AEL Larissa W
2:3
May 8, 2022 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Ergotelis W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa W 10 / 100
Ergotelis W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa W Ergotelis W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ergotelis W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

AEL Larissa W scored in 58% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Ergotelis W conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: AEL Larissa W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa W

(Home)
26 May
OFI Crete W
5 : 0
AEL Larissa W
19 May
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Kastoria W
12 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
1 : 1
AEL Larissa W
21 Apr
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Trikala W
14 Apr
Olimpiada Imittou W
3 : 2
AEL Larissa W
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Ergotelis W

(Away)
20 May
Trikala W
4 : 1
Ergotelis W
14 May
Ergotelis W
2 : 0
PAOK W
07 May
AEL Larissa W
1 : 4
Ergotelis W
30 Apr
Ergotelis W
2 : 0
AEL Larissa W
22 Apr
PAOK W
2 : 0
Ergotelis W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAOK W 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 AEL Larissa W 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
3 Avantes Chalkida W 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
4 Ergotelis W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Champions League Women 2022/2023 (Qualification)