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AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W

Greece Greece

Division A Women 2022/2023 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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AI Match Summary

The Division A Women 2022/2023 game between AEL Larissa W and Rethymniakos (REA) W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rethymniakos (REA) W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AEL Larissa W
6%
Draws
90%
Rethymniakos (REA) W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rethymniakos (REA) W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rethymniakos (REA) W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rethymniakos (REA) W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division A Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AEL Larissa W Clean Sheet 16%
Rethymniakos (REA) W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa W Rethymniakos (REA) W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Division A Women
Rethymniakos (REA) W vs AEL Larissa W
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W
0:0
May 20, 2023 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W
1:4
Apr 2, 2023 Division A Women
Rethymniakos (REA) W vs AEL Larissa W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa W 10 / 100
Rethymniakos (REA) W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa W Rethymniakos (REA) W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AEL Larissa W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Rethymniakos (REA) W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 33 matches.

AEL Larissa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rethymniakos (REA) W
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa W

(Home)
26 May
OFI Crete W
5 : 0
AEL Larissa W
19 May
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Kastoria W
12 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
1 : 1
AEL Larissa W
21 Apr
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Trikala W
14 Apr
Olimpiada Imittou W
3 : 2
AEL Larissa W
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Rethymniakos (REA) W

(Away)
17 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis W
03 May
Acharnaikos W
0 : 3
Rethymniakos (REA) W
03 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 0
Volos W
25 Apr
Paraskevi W
3 : 2
Rethymniakos (REA) W
04 Apr
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 2
Panathinaikos W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAOK W 6 5 0 1 13:6 15
2 Ergotelis W 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
3 Rethymniakos (REA) W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 OFI Crete W 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
5 Trikala W 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 AEL Larissa W 6 0 0 6 2:16 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)