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AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Division A Women 2022/2023 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
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AI Match Summary

The Division A Women 2022/2023 game between AEL Larissa W and Rethymniakos (REA) W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rethymniakos (REA) W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
AEL Larissa W
15%
Draws
78%
Rethymniakos (REA) W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rethymniakos (REA) W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Rethymniakos (REA) W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rethymniakos (REA) W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division A Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AEL Larissa W Clean Sheet 14%
Rethymniakos (REA) W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa W Rethymniakos (REA) W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Division A Women
Rethymniakos (REA) W vs AEL Larissa W
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W
0:0
May 20, 2023 Division A Women
AEL Larissa W vs Rethymniakos (REA) W
1:4
Apr 2, 2023 Division A Women
Rethymniakos (REA) W vs AEL Larissa W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa W 10 / 100
Rethymniakos (REA) W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa W Rethymniakos (REA) W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rethymniakos (REA) W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AEL Larissa W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Rethymniakos (REA) W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

AEL Larissa W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rethymniakos (REA) W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa W

(Home)
26 May
OFI Crete W
5 : 0
AEL Larissa W
19 May
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Kastoria W
12 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
1 : 1
AEL Larissa W
21 Apr
AEL Larissa W
0 : 1
Trikala W
14 Apr
Olimpiada Imittou W
3 : 2
AEL Larissa W
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Rethymniakos (REA) W

(Away)
27 Sept
Rethymniakos (REA) W
3 : 0
Volos W
20 Sept
Paraskevi W
2 : 0
Rethymniakos (REA) W
17 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis W
03 May
Acharnaikos W
0 : 3
Rethymniakos (REA) W
03 May
Rethymniakos (REA) W
2 : 0
Volos W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAOK W 6 5 0 1 13:6 15
2 Ergotelis W 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
3 Rethymniakos (REA) W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 OFI Crete W 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
5 Trikala W 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 AEL Larissa W 6 0 0 6 2:16 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)