Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEL Limassol vs Achnas

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Giousis C.
43'
Giousis C.
47' Event
Panagiotou Filiotis A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AEL Limassol
15%
Draws
40%
Achnas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AEL Limassol have won more games recently than Achnas.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 11%
Achnas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Achnas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Achnas
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Cyprus League
Achnas vs AEL Limassol
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Achnas
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Achnas vs AEL Limassol
1:3
May 3, 2025 Cyprus League
Achnas vs AEL Limassol
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Panagiotou Filiotis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Achnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Giousis C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 35 / 100
Achnas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Achnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Achnas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Achnas let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: AEL Limassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Achnas
1.13 Goals Scored 2.17
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 7

Achnas

(Away)
19 Sept
Achnas
3 : 0
Polemidion
12 Sept
PAEEK
2 : 4
Achnas
15 May
Achnas
1 : 2
Omonia Aradippou
09 May
Paralimni
1 : 3
Achnas
01 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 0
Achnas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Anorthosis 33 11 12 10 35:40 45
8 AEL Limassol 33 13 5 15 41:46 44
9 Omonia Aradippou 33 12 6 15 31:42 42
10 Krasava 33 11 7 15 36:44 40
11 Ol. Nicosia 33 10 10 13 32:44 40
12 Akritas Chloraka 33 10 5 18 31:58 35
13 Achnas 33 10 3 20 34:53 33
14 Paralimni 33 1 2 30 11:80 5
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)