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Stadium Background

AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
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Match Events

9'
Jradi B. Z.
24'
Sub
Frantzis C. In: Imanishimwe E.
Out: Frantzis C.
28' Event
Ioannou M.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between AEL Limassol and Anorthosis finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Anorthosis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
AEL Limassol
15%
Draws
32%
Anorthosis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • AEL Limassol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AEL Limassol a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 68%
Anorthosis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Anorthosis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis
2:0
Apr 27, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 Cyprus League
Anorthosis vs AEL Limassol
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis
4:1
Apr 25, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Limassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Anorthosis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ioannou M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 68 / 100
Anorthosis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Anorthosis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Anorthosis has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

AEL Limassol went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Anorthosis
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
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Anorthosis

(Away)
04 Oct
Paralimni
0 : 1
Anorthosis
19 Sept
Nea Salamis
3 : 0
Anorthosis
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Anorthosis 33 11 12 10 35:40 45
8 AEL Limassol 33 13 5 15 41:46 44
9 Omonia Aradippou 33 12 6 15 31:42 42
10 Krasava 33 11 7 15 36:44 40
11 Ol. Nicosia 33 10 10 13 32:44 40
12 Akritas Chloraka 33 10 5 18 31:58 35
13 Achnas 33 10 3 20 34:53 33
14 Paralimni 33 1 2 30 11:80 5
Relegation - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)