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AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AEL Limassol host Ol. Nicosia in the Cyprus League. This one's hard to separate. Ol. Nicosia have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while AEL Limassol have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, AEL Limassol have won 2 to Ol. Nicosia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring AEL Limassol. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
AEL Limassol
30%
Draws
18%
Ol. Nicosia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEL Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEL Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Ol. Nicosia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 16%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Limassol Ol. Nicosia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEL Limassol
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
2:0
Apr 30, 2023 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs AEL Limassol
1:1
Apr 26, 2023 Cyprus Cup
AEL Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Limassol 30 / 100
Ol. Nicosia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Limassol Ol. Nicosia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Limassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Limassol scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ol. Nicosia conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AEL Limassol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEL Limassol VS Ol. Nicosia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Limassol

(Home)
31 Oct
Omonia
2 : 0
AEL Limassol
25 Oct
AEL Limassol
1 : 3
Aris Limassol
18 Oct
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Oct
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Omonia 29th May
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
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Ol. Nicosia

(Away)
30 Oct
Karmiotissa
1 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
24 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 1
Krasava
19 Oct
Omonia
2 : 2
Ol. Nicosia
11 Oct
Ol. Nicosia
1 : 2
Aris Limassol
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Apollon Limassol 8 4 4 0 21:10 16
3 Omonia 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
4 AEL Limassol 8 5 0 3 11:13 15
5 Pafos 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
6 Aris Limassol 7 3 3 1 10:9 12
7 APOEL 7 3 2 2 16:9 11
8 Omonia 29th May 7 2 2 3 12:13 8
9 Karmiotissa 8 1 3 4 5:16 6
10 Anorthosis 7 2 0 5 6:13 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
12 Ol. Nicosia 8 0 6 2 11:13 6
13 Nea Salamis 7 1 2 4 11:15 5
14 Krasava 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)