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Aerostar vs SC Bacau

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2011/2012 game between Aerostar and SC Bacau finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Bacau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aerostar
15%
Draws
42%
SC Bacau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aerostar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 13%
SC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar SC Bacau
Matches Played 52 34
Wins 27 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs SC Bacau
2:0
Nov 5, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
SC Bacau vs Aerostar
1:1
Mar 8, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 1
SC Bacau vs Aerostar
4:3
Aug 31, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs SC Bacau
0:1
May 15, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs SC Bacau
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 30 / 100
SC Bacau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar SC Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aerostar scored in 75% of their last 52 outings.

SC Bacau has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aerostar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aerostar

(Home)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
Page 1 of 11

SC Bacau

(Away)
26 May
Metalosport Galati
0 : 3
SC Bacau
19 May
SC Bacau
5 : 1
Sportul Chiscani
13 May
Cetate Rasnov
3 : 0
SC Bacau
10 May
SC Bacau
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
05 May
Aerostar
2 : 0
SC Bacau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Foresta Suceava 28 19 6 3 60:20 63
2 SC Bacau 28 19 5 4 53:16 62
3 Roman 28 14 7 7 51:29 49
4 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 28 14 5 9 45:29 47
5 Sporting Suceava 28 13 6 9 42:35 45
6 Aerostar 28 13 4 11 32:27 43
7 Panciu 28 11 8 9 31:26 41
8 Dorohoi 28 11 7 10 38:31 40
9 Otelul 2 28 11 6 11 48:47 39
10 CSM Pascani 28 10 6 12 26:37 36
11 Ceahlaul II 28 9 5 14 35:50 32
12 CSM Focsani 28 6 6 16 16:41 24
13 Politehnica Galati 28 7 3 18 38:56 24
14 Ozana Targu Neamt 28 5 8 15 21:48 23
15 Stoicescu Buzau 28 5 4 19 24:68 19
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2012/2013 (Main)