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Aetos Varvaras vs Aris Petinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aetos Varvaras in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aetos Varvaras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aetos Varvaras
15%
Draws
85%
Aris Petinos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris Petinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aetos Varvaras at 0.7 per game, Aris Petinos at 0.67.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aetos Varvaras Clean Sheet 10%
Aris Petinos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aetos Varvaras Aris Petinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.7 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Varvaras vs Aris Petinos
2:1
Nov 5, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aris Petinos vs Aetos Varvaras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aetos Varvaras 30 / 100
Aris Petinos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aetos Varvaras Aris Petinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aris Petinos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Aris Petinos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Aetos Varvaras scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Aetos Varvaras VS Aris Petinos
1 Goals Scored 1.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aetos Varvaras

(Home)
28 Apr
Doxa Dramas
5 : 1
Aetos Varvaras
24 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
1 : 4
Poseidonas Michanionas
20 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
0 : 5
Panthrakikos
14 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
2 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
07 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
2 : 3
Orestis Orestiadas
Page 1 of 6

Aris Petinos

(Away)
28 Apr
Aris Petinos
0 : 3
Poseidonas Michanionas
24 Apr
Panthrakikos
6 : 0
Aris Petinos
20 Apr
Aris Petinos
0 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
14 Apr
Orestis Orestiadas
0 : 2
Aris Petinos
07 Apr
Aris Petinos
1 : 2
Chaniotis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kavala 34 32 1 1 89:11 97
2 Chrisoupolis 34 25 6 3 75:19 81
3 Panthrakikos 34 23 8 3 69:18 77
4 Chaniotis 34 16 9 9 49:33 57
5 Aris Avatou 34 15 10 9 48:33 55
6 Thermaikos FC 34 16 7 11 42:35 55
7 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 17 4 13 55:29 55
8 PAOK Kristonis 34 16 6 12 43:41 54
9 Orestis Orestiadas 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
10 Apollon Paralimniou 34 14 10 10 54:37 52
11 Niki Efkarpias 34 13 10 11 49:40 49
12 Doxa Dramas 34 12 8 14 56:40 44
13 Veria 34 8 8 18 28:55 32
14 Aris Petinos 34 6 5 23 24:67 23
15 Aetos Varvaras 34 6 4 24 26:92 22
16 Epanomi 34 3 10 21 18:66 19
17 M. Alexandros Agia Marina 34 2 8 24 18:65 14
18 Keravnos Anchelochori 34 4 3 27 17:82 0
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)