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Aetos Varvaras vs Kavala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Aetos Varvaras and Kavala finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kavala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aetos Varvaras
15%
Draws
85%
Kavala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kavala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kavala come out ahead of Aetos Varvaras on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kavala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aetos Varvaras Clean Sheet 20%
Kavala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aetos Varvaras Kavala
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Varvaras vs Kavala
0:7
Sep 27, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Kavala vs Aetos Varvaras
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aetos Varvaras 10 / 100
Kavala 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aetos Varvaras Kavala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kavala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Aetos Varvaras found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Kavala has conceded goals in 58% of their last 36 outings.

Kavala lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kavala
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aetos Varvaras

(Home)
28 Apr
Doxa Dramas
5 : 1
Aetos Varvaras
24 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
1 : 4
Poseidonas Michanionas
20 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
0 : 5
Panthrakikos
14 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
2 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
07 Apr
Aetos Varvaras
2 : 3
Orestis Orestiadas
Page 1 of 6

Kavala

(Away)
26 Apr
Kavala
2 : 2
Chrisoupolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Giannina
3 : 1
Kavala
08 Apr
Kampaniakos
2 : 0
Kavala
05 Apr
Kavala
2 : 1
PAOK B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kavala 34 32 1 1 89:11 97
2 Chrisoupolis 34 25 6 3 75:19 81
3 Panthrakikos 34 23 8 3 69:18 77
4 Chaniotis 34 16 9 9 49:33 57
5 Aris Avatou 34 15 10 9 48:33 55
6 Thermaikos FC 34 16 7 11 42:35 55
7 Poseidonas Michanionas 34 17 4 13 55:29 55
8 PAOK Kristonis 34 16 6 12 43:41 54
9 Orestis Orestiadas 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
10 Apollon Paralimniou 34 14 10 10 54:37 52
11 Niki Efkarpias 34 13 10 11 49:40 49
12 Doxa Dramas 34 12 8 14 56:40 44
13 Veria 34 8 8 18 28:55 32
14 Aris Petinos 34 6 5 23 24:67 23
15 Aetos Varvaras 34 6 4 24 26:92 22
16 Epanomi 34 3 10 21 18:66 19
17 M. Alexandros Agia Marina 34 2 8 24 18:65 14
18 Keravnos Anchelochori 34 4 3 27 17:82 0
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)