Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AF Elbasani host KF Egnatia in the Abissnet Superiore. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. AF Elbasani have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against KF Egnatia's 2.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor KF Egnatia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 2.00) point toward KF Egnatia. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AF Elbasani
28%
Draws
50%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KF Egnatia lately — more wins on the board than AF Elbasani.
  • Model gives KF Egnatia a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani KF Egnatia
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:4
Apr 22, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 22 / 100
KF Egnatia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani KF Egnatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

KF Egnatia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AF Elbasani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS KF Egnatia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Petrovac
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2
AF Elbasani
24 May
AF Elbasani
3 : 0
Dinamo Tirana
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KF Egnatia

(Away)
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
27 Jun
FC Botosani
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
31 May
KF Egnatia
2 : 0
Dinamo Tirana
23 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partizani00000:00
2Vllaznia00000:00
3KF Tirana00000:00
4Dinamo Tirana00000:00
5Teuta00000:00
6Skenderbeu Korca00000:00
7Laci00000:00
8KF Egnatia00000:00
9Vora00000:00
10AF Elbasani00000:00
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)