Sport Picks

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AF Elbasani vs Luzi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lleshi A.
23' Event
Lleshi A.
30' Event
Hoxhaj A.

AI Match Summary

AF Elbasani in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Elbasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AF Elbasani
30%
Draws
31%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AF Elbasani have won more games recently than Luzi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AF Elbasani have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 17%
Luzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani Luzi
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.61 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
AF Elbasani vs Luzi
2:1
Feb 17, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
AF Elbasani vs Luzi
5:2
Nov 6, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs AF Elbasani
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lleshi A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hoxhaj A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucka F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itodo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 30 / 100
Luzi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani Luzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AF Elbasani scored in 89% of their last 36 outings.

Luzi let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
Partizani
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Petrovac
Page 1 of 8

Luzi

(Away)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)