Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Elbasani vs Tomori Berat

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lleshi A.
45' Event
Lleshi A.
48' Event
Greca B.

AI Match Summary

AF Elbasani in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Elbasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AF Elbasani
30%
Draws
23%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomori Berat haven't matched AF Elbasani's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AF Elbasani a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AF Elbasani have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 15%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani Tomori Berat
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 9 1
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.71 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
AF Elbasani vs Tomori Berat
5:0
Feb 10, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs AF Elbasani
1:3
Oct 29, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
AF Elbasani vs Tomori Berat
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lleshi A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Greca B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tomori Berat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 84 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Tomori Berat let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AF Elbasani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS Tomori Berat
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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Tomori Berat

(Away)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)