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AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Mehmeti A.
18' Event
Murataj E.
36'
Ibrahim A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Abissnet Superiore matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
AF Elbasani
35%
Draws
16%
Vllaznia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • AF Elbasani have won more games recently than Vllaznia.
  • AF Elbasani are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 68%
Vllaznia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani Vllaznia
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia
1:1
May 31, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Vllaznia vs AF Elbasani
1:2
Apr 27, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia
3:1
Feb 15, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Vllaznia vs AF Elbasani
2:1
Dec 8, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Vllaznia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Hebaj R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vllaznia Compare

Top Goalscorer Murataj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 77 / 100
Vllaznia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani Vllaznia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AF Elbasani scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Vllaznia let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS Vllaznia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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Vllaznia

(Away)
18 Sept
Vllaznia
0 : 2
Teuta
13 Sept
Laci
2 : 0
Vllaznia
05 Sept
Vllaznia
2 : 3
Partizani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 KF Egnatia 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Dinamo City 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
6 KF Tirana 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
7 Partizani 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
9 Skenderbeu Korca 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
10 Vllaznia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)