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AF Luftetari vs Kastrioti

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cereni M.
56' Event
Kapllani D.
59' Event
Petropoulos L.

AI Match Summary

AF Luftetari in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Luftetari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
AF Luftetari
15%
Draws
17%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Kastrioti have won more games recently than AF Luftetari.
  • Win probability leans AF Luftetari's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 68%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari Kastrioti
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Kastrioti
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
3:1
Apr 10, 2019 Abissnet Superiore
Kastrioti vs AF Luftetari
1:0
Jan 27, 2019 Abissnet Superiore
AF Luftetari vs Kastrioti
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Cereni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petropoulos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kastrioti Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapllani D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 95 / 100
Kastrioti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastrioti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

AF Luftetari found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: AF Luftetari stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS Kastrioti
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

Kastrioti

(Away)
07 May
Pogradeci
3 : 0
Kastrioti
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Kastrioti
11 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
Laci
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)