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AFA Olaine vs Aliance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Pacepko M.
62' Event
Pacepko M.
89' Event
Brics E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with AFA Olaine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AFA Olaine
15%
Draws
48%
Aliance
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aliance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliance haven't matched AFA Olaine's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Aliance taking it.
  • AFA Olaine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AFA Olaine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%
Aliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Aliance
Matches Played 34 18
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 0
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.94 3.06
Goals Conceded 3.09 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Latvian Cup
AFA Olaine vs Aliance
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacepko M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brics E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aliance Compare

Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 10 / 100
Aliance 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Aliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aliance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

Attacking prowess: AFA Olaine scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AFA Olaine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFA Olaine VS Aliance
1.63 Goals Scored 3.5
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 7

Aliance

(Away)
19 Jun
Marupe
4 : 2
Aliance
30 May
Valka
1 : 5
Aliance
31 May
Aliance
0 : 6
JFK Ventspils
17 May
Valka
1 : 9
Aliance
05 May
Talsi
1 : 5
Aliance
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Bebri 3
JFC Viola 2
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK -
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Livani -
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Lielupe -
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Valka -
Sports United/Cesis -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
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Riga United -
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Kadaga/Ostas -
Dinamo Riga -
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Iecava -
FK Union 0
Riga Mariners 2
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RSU -
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS -
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Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors -
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Plavinas -
Talsi -
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Kekava-Auda -
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele -
FK Alberts -
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Rezekne -
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Jules Verne -
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FK Cesis -
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
1/64-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors 3
Bebri 1
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK 7
Livani 2
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Grobina -
Lielupe 5
Valka 1
Sports United/Cesis 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 12
Super Nova -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Riga FC -
Sigulda 0
LSPA 5
Riga United 3
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Dinamo Riga 1
Iecava 3
Riga Mariners 4
RSU 1
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS 4
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors 1
Plavinas 2
Talsi 3
Kekava-Auda 4
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele 4
FK Alberts 0
Rezekne -
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Jules Verne 2
FK Cesis 3
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance 20
FK Limbazi 0
1/32-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 4
Upesciema Warriors 0
Skanste 6
Salaspils FK 1
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Grobina -
Lielupe 1
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Super Nova 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 2
Riga United 0
Iecava 1
Riga Mariners 3
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FK Metta -
Ogre United 2
Marupe 7
Madona/BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 6
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Plavinas 0
Kekava-Auda 5
Alberts JDFS 5
Bauskas / Memele 0
Rezekne 5
FK Cesis 0
AFA Olaine 3
Aliance 0
1/16-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
RFS -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 2
Skanste 1
TBD -
Grobina -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 0
Riga Mariners 5
TBD -
FK Metta -
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 1
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Kekava-Auda 3
Alberts JDFS 4
Rezekne 1
AFA Olaine 5
1/8-finals
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 3
RFS 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Leevon PPK 2
Grobina 1
JFK Ventspils 0
Riga FC 3
Riga Mariners 0
FK Metta 4
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 4
Alberts JDFS 1
AFA Olaine 2
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 3
RFS 4
Leevon PPK 0
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Liepaja 1
AFA Olaine 0
Semi-finals
RFS 2
Riga FC 1
FK Auda Riga 3
FK Liepaja 0
Final
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 2