Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFA Olaine vs Kalupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gomide D.
8' Event
Malinovskis P.
65' Event
Berzins E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Kalupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AFA Olaine
15%
Draws
39%
Kalupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Kalupe taking it.
  • AFA Olaine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kalupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%
Kalupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Kalupe
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.63 3.33
Goals Conceded 3.19 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 Latvian Cup
AFA Olaine vs Kalupe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomide D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinovskis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berzins E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 10 / 100
Kalupe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Kalupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFA Olaine scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Kalupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: AFA Olaine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFA Olaine VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 7

Kalupe

(Away)
04 Jul
Kalupe
4 : 5
Kengaroos
20 Aug
Albatroz
5 : 1
Kalupe
02 Aug
Lubana
1 : 13
Kalupe
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 1
New Project
26 May
AFA Olaine
1 : 2
Kalupe
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Keiko Jekabpils -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors 1
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kalupe 2
AFA Olaine 1
TBD -
New Project -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 3
Riga United 1
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
Lubana -
TBD -
TBD -
Tente -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
Aliance 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
Monarhs 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 7
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
Jurmalas 1
Jauniba / Upesciems 2
Marupe -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
Caramba 8
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/32-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 3
Ghetto / Gvatar 0
Nikers 1
Livani 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 5
FK Auda Riga 1
Keiko Jekabpils 2
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 4
Rezekne 3
Kalupe 0
New Project 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 8
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Lubana 2
Tente 6
FK Alberts 2
Lielupe 1
Aliance 1
LDZ Cargo/DFA 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Dinamo Riga 1
Albatroz 1
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 3
Jauniba / Upesciems 0
Marupe 3
Caramba 5
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/16-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 7
Livani 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 9
Krimulda 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 2
New Project 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 1
Tente 0
FK Alberts 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 6
Alberts JDFS 4
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/8-finals
RFS 2
Valmiera 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 4
Tukums 2000 4
Ventspils 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 6
FK Karosta 4
LDZ Cargo/DFA 1
Alberts JDFS 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0
FK Metta 0
Jelgava 1
Quarter-finals
RFS 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 0
Riga FC 4
FK Karosta 2
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Semi-finals
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
FK Karosta 0
Jelgava 5
Final
RFS 3
Jelgava 2