Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFA Olaine vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Butlers R.
Assist: Berzins N.
19'
Strelcovs I.
43'
Butlers R.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between AFA Olaine and Leevon PPK finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AFA Olaine
20%
Draws
52%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of AFA Olaine on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leevon PPK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Leevon PPK
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 2.03 1.85
Goals Conceded 3.26 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Leevon PPK
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs AFA Olaine
3:2
Aug 4, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Leevon PPK
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs AFA Olaine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Butlers R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Arsauskis R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 10 / 100
Leevon PPK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFA Olaine scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Leevon PPK conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

AFA Olaine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leevon PPK
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 7

Leevon PPK

(Away)
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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