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Afan Lido vs Ammanford Town

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Keetch C.
29' Event
John A.
45'
Delaney M.

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Afan Lido
30%
Draws
12%
Ammanford Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ammanford Town have won more games recently than Afan Lido.
  • Win probability leans Afan Lido's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 20%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Ammanford Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Ammanford Town
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Afan Lido
6:0
Mar 7, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Ammanford Town
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Afan Lido
5:1
Mar 15, 2024 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Afan Lido
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Keetch C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Griffiths L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer John A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 85 / 100
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Ammanford Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Ammanford Town let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Ammanford Town
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Ammanford Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0
Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
04 Sept
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)