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Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Newport City

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Afan Lido Logo

Afan Lido

0 - 0
FT
Newport City Logo

Newport City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Afan Lido and Newport City finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Afan Lido
35%
Draws
32%
Newport City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Newport City haven't matched Afan Lido's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Newport City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 16%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Newport City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Newport City
0:0
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Newport City
0:1
Jul 25, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Afan Lido
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Afan Lido
5:1
Aug 9, 2024 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Newport City
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 28 / 100
Newport City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Newport City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Afan Lido has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Newport City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 7

Newport City

(Away)
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 7 2 1 4 6:16 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
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