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Afan Lido vs Port Talbot

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Griffiths L.
90' Event
McCalmon M.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Afan Lido and Port Talbot finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Afan Lido
20%
Draws
51%
Port Talbot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Afan Lido carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 20%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Port Talbot
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 18 27
Goals Scored 1.24 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.82 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
3:1
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
3:0
Apr 18, 2022 Cymru South
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
0:2
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Port Talbot
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McCalmon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Port Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 32 / 100
Port Talbot 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Port Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Talbot has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Afan Lido went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
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Port Talbot

(Away)
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1
Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1
Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0
Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)