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Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Salter C.
33'
McCreesh L.
54' Event
Morgan C.

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ynyshir Albions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Afan Lido
17%
Draws
13%
Ynyshir Albions
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Afan Lido have won more games recently than Ynyshir Albions.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Afan Lido taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 16%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Ynyshir Albions
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Afan Lido
2:1
Dec 6, 2022 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 66 / 100
Ynyshir Albions 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Ynyshir Albions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Ynyshir Albions let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Afan Lido stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Ynyshir Albions
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810