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Afantou vs Amarynthiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Afantou and Amarynthiakos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afantou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Afantou
20%
Draws
0%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afantou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Afantou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Afantou's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Afantou here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Afantou Clean Sheet 68%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afantou Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.14 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Afantou vs Amarynthiakos
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Afantou
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Amarynthiakos vs Afantou
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Afantou vs Amarynthiakos
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afantou 95 / 100
Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afantou Amarynthiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afantou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarynthiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Amarynthiakos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Afantou found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Afantou VS Amarynthiakos
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afantou

(Home)
04 Oct
Afantou
0 : 0
PAO Rouf
27 Sept
Afantou
1 : 0
Ionikos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
4 : 2
Afantou
02 Apr
Afantou
2 : 4
Nea Artaki
Page 1 of 6

Amarynthiakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)