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Afantou vs Aris Petroupolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Afantou
30%
Draws
41%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Petroupolis have won more games recently than Afantou.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aris Petroupolis have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Afantou Clean Sheet 12%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afantou Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Afantou
4:2
Jan 24, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Afantou vs Aris Petroupolis
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Afantou
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afantou 35 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afantou Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aris Petroupolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Afantou found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Afantou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aris Petroupolis conceded in 32% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Afantou VS Aris Petroupolis
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Afantou

(Home)
04 Oct
Afantou
0 : 0
PAO Rouf
27 Sept
Afantou
1 : 0
Ionikos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
4 : 2
Afantou
02 Apr
Afantou
2 : 4
Nea Artaki
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Aris Petroupolis

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)