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AFC Emley vs Guiseley

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Thewlis J.
26' Event
White K.
57' Event
Wilson C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between AFC Emley and Guiseley finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guiseley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
AFC Emley
20%
Draws
61%
Guiseley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guiseley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guiseley come out ahead of AFC Emley on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guiseley's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 10%
Guiseley Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Emley Guiseley
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
AFC Emley vs Guiseley
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Emley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Guiseley Compare

Top Goalscorer Thewlis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader White K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Emley 10 / 100
Guiseley 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Emley Guiseley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guiseley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Guiseley has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

AFC Emley found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: AFC Emley stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Emley VS Guiseley
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Emley

(Home)
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
09 Sept
Bishop Auckland
0 : 2
AFC Emley
06 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Bishop Auckland
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

Guiseley

(Away)
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
12 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 1
Quorn
08 Sept
Guiseley
2 : 1
Stockton
05 Sept
Stockton
2 : 2
Guiseley
31 Aug
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 Avro 9 7 1 1 28:16 22
3 Redcar Athletic 10 6 4 0 19:7 22
4 Guiseley 9 6 1 2 22:10 19
5 Warrington Town 9 5 2 2 18:14 17
6 Bury FC 9 5 1 3 19:8 16
7 Curzon Ashton 9 5 1 3 18:10 16
8 Workington 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
9 Gainsborough 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
10 Warrington Rylands 9 4 1 4 12:13 13
11 Alfreton 9 4 0 5 15:10 12
12 Whitby 9 4 0 5 14:24 12
13 Ashton United 9 3 2 4 10:9 11
14 Hyde 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
15 AFC Emley 9 2 4 3 8:15 10
16 Lancaster 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
17 Leek Town 10 2 3 5 19:20 9
18 Bamber Bridge 10 2 3 5 14:27 9
19 Stockton 10 2 2 6 13:20 8
20 Ilkeston 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
21 Quorn 9 1 3 5 12:23 6
22 United of Manchester 9 1 2 6 12:19 5
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