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AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC

England England

National League North 2025/2026 Mill Farm
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Whelan T.
14' Event
Thomas L.
23' Event
Mayor D.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between AFC Fylde and Darlington FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Fylde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AFC Fylde
6%
Draws
4%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Darlington FC on wins alone.
  • AFC Fylde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Darlington FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC
4:1
Sep 30, 2025 FA Cup
Darlington FC vs AFC Fylde
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs AFC Fylde
1:3
Mar 11, 2023 National League North
AFC Fylde vs Darlington FC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Main C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 85 / 100
Darlington FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Darlington FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FYL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

AFC Fylde scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Darlington FC let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AFC Fylde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Darlington FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029