Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Norris L.
64'
Mitchell E.
65'
Sub
Chesters D. In: Smith K.
Out: Chesters D.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between AFC Fylde and Wealdstone finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AFC Fylde
15%
Draws
37%
Wealdstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Wealdstone on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 16%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Wealdstone
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.19 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 National League
AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone
2:0
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Wealdstone vs AFC Fylde
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Wealdstone
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 National League
Wealdstone vs AFC Fylde
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morris J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Wealdstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Norris L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olomola O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 31 / 100
Wealdstone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Wealdstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Wealdstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: AFC Fylde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Wealdstone
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 7

Wealdstone

(Away)
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
4 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
15 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
21 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
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