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AFC Fylde W vs Boldmere St Michaels W

England England

Women's National League North 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with AFC Fylde W averaging 1.6 xG at home and Boldmere St Michaels W producing 2.6 xG on their travels. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Everything points to a very close contest where a draw wouldn't surprise anyone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AFC Fylde W
15%
Draws
50%
Boldmere St Michaels W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boldmere St Michaels W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • AFC Fylde W picked up more points recently compared to Boldmere St Michaels W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
AFC Fylde W Clean Sheet 10%
Boldmere St Michaels W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde W Boldmere St Michaels W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 1
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

30.04.23 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Boldmere St Michaels W
2:1
06.11.22 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs AFC Fylde W
3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

AFC Fylde W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Boldmere St Michaels W

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
10 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.96

Boldmere St Michaels W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
19 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
14 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.86

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Boldmere St Michaels W • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder AFC Fylde W • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Boldmere St Michaels W • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker AFC Fylde W • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde W 34 / 100
Boldmere St Michaels W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde W Boldmere St Michaels W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boldmere St Michaels W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

AFC Fylde W will likely press early to force mistakes.

AFC Fylde W 59%
Boldmere St Michaels W 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Boldmere St Michaels W should settle down and try to slow the pace.

AFC Fylde W 54%
Boldmere St Michaels W 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

AFC Fylde W 51%
Boldmere St Michaels W 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect AFC Fylde W to push more players wide.

AFC Fylde W 56%
Boldmere St Michaels W 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

AFC Fylde W 51%
Boldmere St Michaels W 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

AFC Fylde W 62%
Boldmere St Michaels W 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Fylde W attacking → ← attacking Boldmere St Michaels W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde W have scored in 91% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Boldmere St Michaels W concede most goals (52%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 24 shots per game, well above the league median.

AFC Fylde W are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

Boldmere St Michaels W have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: AFC Fylde W wants a European spot, while Boldmere St Michaels W is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 25
1.56 Goals expected (xG) 2.56
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2