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AFC Fylde W vs Derby W

England England

Women's National League North 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W in this Women's National League North 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AFC Fylde W
15%
Draws
42%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Fylde W haven't matched Derby W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Derby W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
AFC Fylde W Clean Sheet 10%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde W Derby W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Women's National League North
Derby W vs AFC Fylde W
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:4
Feb 12, 2023 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Women's National League North
Derby W vs AFC Fylde W
0:2
Apr 3, 2022 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde W 30 / 100
Derby W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Derby W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

AFC Fylde W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde W VS Derby W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde W

(Home)
14 Dec
Middlesbrough W
3 : 0
AFC Fylde W
23 Nov
AFC Fylde W
4 : 0
Kidderminster W
26 Oct
South Shields W
0 : 5
AFC Fylde W
03 Nov
Cheadle Town W
2 : 0
AFC Fylde W
05 May
Halifax W
6 : 1
AFC Fylde W
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Derby W

(Away)
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolverhampton W 24 18 5 1 61:16 59
2 Derby W 24 16 3 5 48:19 51
3 AFC Fylde W 24 14 5 5 47:28 47
4 Burnley W 24 14 4 6 70:27 46
5 Nottingham W 24 13 5 6 40:17 44
6 Huddersfield W 24 13 4 7 54:28 43
7 Brighouse Town W 24 11 7 6 51:31 40
8 West Brom W 24 7 7 10 29:44 28
9 Stoke City LFC W 24 8 1 15 36:54 25
10 Loughborough Lightning W 24 6 5 13 35:63 23
11 Middlesbrough W 24 5 3 16 27:67 18
12 Hull City W 24 2 3 19 18:72 9
13 Sheffield FC W 24 2 2 20 13:63 8
Promotion - Women's National League 2021/2022 (Main)