Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sener C.
17'
Sub
Awad A. In: Reuterskiold A.
Out: Awad A.
27'
Eek L.

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AFC Malmo
35%
Draws
43%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Malmo lately — more wins on the board than Jonkoping.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 17%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Jonkoping
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.04 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:3
Jun 29, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Reuterskiold A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jonkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 36 / 100
Jonkoping 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Jonkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Jonkoping conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: AFC Malmo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Jonkoping
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5
Lunds Bois
15 Aug
Olympic
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

Jonkoping

(Away)
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Angelholm
0 : 1
Jonkoping
22 Aug
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Rosengard
15 Aug
Laholms
0 : 0
Jonkoping
09 Aug
Jonkoping
2 : 0
Olympic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 21 12 6 3 44:24 42
2 Hassleholms IF 21 12 3 6 41:26 39
3 Atvidaberg 21 11 6 4 45:32 39
4 Lunds Bois 21 10 8 3 44:26 38
5 Rosengard 21 9 7 5 35:28 34
6 Tvaaker 21 9 6 6 28:28 33
7 AFC Malmo 21 8 8 5 39:31 32
8 Trollhattan 21 7 7 7 33:33 28
9 Skovde 21 6 9 6 23:29 27
10 Jonkoping 20 7 5 8 25:20 26
11 Olympic 21 8 2 11 38:43 26
12 Eskilsminne 21 7 4 10 32:38 25
13 Laholms 21 6 3 12 28:38 21
14 Kristianstad 20 5 5 10 25:33 20
15 Angelholm 21 3 8 10 25:39 17
16 Utsikten 21 1 5 15 17:54 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)