Sport Picks

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AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo play Jonkoping in the Division 1 - Södra. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Malmo averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Jonkoping averaged 2 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Malmo won 1, Jonkoping won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for AFC Malmo and 1.69 for Jonkoping. This points to a AFC Malmo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AFC Malmo
39%
Draws
31%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jonkoping.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Södra provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 13%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Jonkoping
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Jonkoping
0:3
Jun 29, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs AFC Malmo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Reuterskiold A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Jonkoping Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 30 / 100
Jonkoping 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Jonkoping

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Jonkoping let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jonkoping lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Jonkoping
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394