Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Rosengard

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Sub
Liljenback A. In: Backaliden G.
Out: Liljenback A.
52'
Sub
Igbonekwu E. In: Andersson M.
Out: Igbonekwu E.
54' Event
Alievski E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AFC Malmo
39%
Draws
31%
Rosengard
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo have won more games recently than Rosengard.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 15%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Rosengard
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Rosengard vs AFC Malmo
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs AFC Malmo
1:3
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Rosengard
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alievski E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Rosengard Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 30 / 100
Rosengard 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Rosengard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Rosengard has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Rosengard
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394