Sport Picks
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö 
Match Events
25'
25'
Gabrielsson O.
40'
40'
Bergmark N.
46'
46'
Sub
Brannefalk J. In: Gudmundsson J.
Out: Brannefalk J.
AI Match Summary
Trelleborg in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trelleborg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trelleborg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trelleborg have won more games recently than AFC Malmo.
- Win probability leans Trelleborg's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 11%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Malmo | Trelleborg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg
1:3
Feb 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Malmo Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Trelleborg Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabrielsson O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bergmark N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Malmo 27 / 100
Trelleborg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Malmo Trelleborg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Trelleborg conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AFC Malmo VS Trelleborg
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Malmo
(Home) 02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1 AFC Malmo
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2 AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1 Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0 AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0 AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1 Utsikten
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2 Atvidaberg
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5 Lunds Bois
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2 Trelleborg
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0 Jonkoping
Page 1 of 3
Trelleborg
(Away) 04 Oct
Olympic
0 : 2 Trelleborg
27 Sept
Trelleborg
4 : 1 Angelholm
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1 Trelleborg
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4 Trelleborg
12 Sept
Trelleborg
2 : 1 Hassleholms IF
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Olympic
0 : 2 Trelleborg
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1 Trelleborg
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4 Trelleborg
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1 Trelleborg
22 Aug
Trollhattan
2 : 1 Trelleborg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 55:28 | 54 |
| 2 | Atvidaberg | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49:35 | 46 |
| 3 | Hassleholms IF | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 46:30 | 45 |
| 4 | Lunds Bois | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | 41 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 45:35 | 41 |
| 6 | Trollhattan | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:37 | 38 |
| 7 | Rosengard | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:37 | 38 |
| 8 | Jonkoping | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29:26 | 33 |
| 9 | Tvaaker | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33:39 | 33 |
| 10 | Skovde | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 31:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Eskilsminne | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | Olympic | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 41:48 | 30 |
| 13 | Kristianstad | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | 27 |
| 14 | Laholms | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32:43 | 25 |
| 15 | Angelholm | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:47 | 21 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 23:60 | 12 |
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)
