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AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo host Trelleborg in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Trelleborg have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while AFC Malmo have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.38. Head-to-head, AFC Malmo have won 0 to Trelleborg's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward AFC Malmo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AFC Malmo
30%
Draws
31%
Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Very High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo have won more games recently than Trelleborg.
  • Win probability leans AFC Malmo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 13%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Trelleborg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Trelleborg
1:3
Feb 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Trelleborg vs AFC Malmo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 57 / 100
Trelleborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Trelleborg conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AFC Malmo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Trelleborg
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
01 Aug
Angelholm
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
12 Jun
Lunds Bois
1 : 4
AFC Malmo
07 Jun
AFC Malmo
2 : 1
Eskilsminne
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Trelleborg

(Away)
02 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 2
Lunds Bois
18 Jul
Trelleborg
1 : 4
Al Diriyah
26 Jun
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Trelleborg
18 Jun
Trelleborg
3 : 2
Rosengard
14 Jun
Hassleholms IF
0 : 2
Trelleborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 15 9 6 0 35:14 33
2 AFC Malmo 15 8 4 3 30:18 28
3 Lunds Bois 15 7 6 2 28:18 27
4 Atvidaberg 15 7 5 3 30:20 26
5 Rosengard 15 7 4 4 27:21 25
6 Hassleholms IF 15 7 3 5 29:22 24
7 Olympic 15 7 1 7 25:25 22
8 Tvaaker 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
9 Eskilsminne 15 6 2 7 25:28 20
10 Jonkoping 15 5 3 7 22:19 18
11 Angelholm 15 3 8 4 24:24 17
12 Trollhattan 15 3 7 5 19:26 16
13 Skovde 15 3 7 5 12:23 16
14 Kristianstad 15 3 5 7 16:24 14
15 Laholms 15 4 1 10 21:30 13
16 Utsikten 15 1 2 12 12:41 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)