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Stadium Background

AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 4. liga - West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AFC Nove Mesto
30%
Draws
33%
Gbely
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gbely lately — more wins on the board than AFC Nove Mesto.
  • Win probability leans AFC Nove Mesto's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 4. liga - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 17%
Gbely Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nove Mesto Gbely
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:1
May 9, 2026 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
May 3, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Gbely
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 4. liga - West
Gbely vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 57 / 100
Gbely 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nove Mesto Gbely

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Nove Mesto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gbely let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: AFC Nove Mesto scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Nove Mesto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Nove Mesto VS Gbely
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Nove Mesto

(Home)
31 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
1 : 1
Gbely
25 Oct
Imel
1 : 5
AFC Nove Mesto
17 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
0 : 1
Pata
10 Oct
Soporna
1 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
02 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Kanianka
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Gbely

(Away)
31 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
1 : 1
Gbely
24 Oct
Gbely
0 : 2
Blava
18 Oct
Imel
1 : 4
Gbely
10 Oct
Gbely
3 : 2
Slovan Levice
04 Oct
Pata
1 : 0
Gbely
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