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AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto play Pata in the 4. liga - West 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Nove Mesto averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Pata averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Nove Mesto won 1, Pata won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for AFC Nove Mesto and 1.25 for Pata. This points to a Pata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AFC Nove Mesto
24%
Draws
47%
Pata
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Pata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto picked up more points recently compared to Pata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 19%
Pata Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nove Mesto Pata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 4. liga - West
Pata vs AFC Nove Mesto
5:0
Mar 22, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 4. liga - West
Pata vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 30 / 100
Pata 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nove Mesto Pata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pata or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Nove Mesto attacking → ← attacking Pata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pata let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

AFC Nove Mesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pata lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 51
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88