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AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Trnava B

Slovakia Slovakia

Divison C West 2019/2020
Sat, May 9, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto play Spartak Trnava B in the Divison C West 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Nove Mesto averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. Spartak Trnava B averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Nove Mesto won 2, Spartak Trnava B won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for AFC Nove Mesto and 1.63 for Spartak Trnava B. This points to a AFC Nove Mesto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AFC Nove Mesto
30%
Draws
32%
Spartak Trnava B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Nove Mesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Trnava B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Trnava B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nove Mesto Spartak Trnava B
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2020 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Trnava B
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 4. liga - West
Spartak Trnava B vs AFC Nove Mesto
0:2
Jun 2, 2019 4. liga - West
Spartak Trnava B vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:2
Oct 26, 2018 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Trnava B
1:3
May 27, 2018 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Spartak Trnava B
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 37 / 100
Spartak Trnava B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nove Mesto Spartak Trnava B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AFC Nove Mesto or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Nove Mesto attacking → ← attacking Spartak Trnava B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Nove Mesto scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Spartak Trnava B let in goals in 69% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

AFC Nove Mesto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Trnava B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 19
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Myjava16121329:1137
2Povazska Bystrica1677224:1528
3Marcelova1683520:1527
4Gabcikovo1582525:1926
5Crystal1675425:2526
6Malzenice1574429:1625
7Belusa1665522:1523
8Sala1664623:2122
9Nitra B1664624:2422
10Z. Moravce-Vrable B1655619:2320
11Velke Ludince1654719:2019
12Spartak Trnava B1654720:2319
13AFC Nove Mesto1646613:1718
14Galanta1645720:2217
15Nove Zamky16241013:4210
16Kalna nad Hronom16231115:329