Sport Picks

Canada

NSL Women BMO Field

Montreal Roses FC W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Toronto W play Montreal Roses FC W in the NSL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Toronto W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Montreal Roses FC W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Toronto W won 0, Montreal Roses FC W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for AFC Toronto W and 1.31 for Montreal Roses FC W. This points to a Montreal Roses FC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

AFC Toronto W

30%

Draws

39%

Montreal Roses FC W

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montreal Roses FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

AFC Toronto W picked up more points recently compared to Montreal Roses FC W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 18%

Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Toronto W	Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played	10	10
Wins	4	5
Draws	3	3
Losses	3	2
Goals Scored	1.5	2.1
Goals Conceded	1	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

May 10, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 32 / 100

Montreal Roses FC W 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Toronto W Montreal Roses FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montreal Roses FC W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Toronto W attacking → ← attacking Montreal Roses FC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Toronto W scored in 80% of their last 10 games.

Montreal Roses FC W let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

AFC Toronto W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Montreal Roses FC W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 18

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ottawa Rapid FC W	11	8	1	2	26:13	25
2	Montreal Roses FC W	10	5	3	2	21:11	18
3	AFC Toronto W	10	4	3	3	15:10	15
4	Halifax Tides FC W	10	4	2	4	13:9	14
5	Vancouver Rise FC W	11	4	1	6	17:29	13
6	Calgary Wild FC W	10	0	2	8	8:28	2