Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Brenna M.
13'
13'
Fonseca R.
Assist: Gouda D.
40'
40'
Maatsen D.
Assist: Korte G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Katwijk have won more games recently than AFC.
- Model gives Katwijk a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC | Katwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs AFC
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
1:4
Aug 24, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs AFC
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Katwijk
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Compare
Top Goalscorer Fonseca R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shenkman N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Katwijk Compare
Top Goalscorer Maatsen D.
1 Goals Assists Leader van den Bogert V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC 22 / 100
Katwijk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Katwijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFC scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Katwijk has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
AFC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AFC VS Katwijk
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC
(Home) 23 May
AFC
2 : 3 Hardenberg
16 May
GVVV
1 : 1 AFC
09 May
AFC
3 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
25 Apr
RKAV Volendam
0 : 3 AFC
18 Apr
AFC
1 : 5 HSV Hoek
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23 May
AFC
2 : 3 Hardenberg
09 May
AFC
3 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
18 Apr
AFC
1 : 5 HSV Hoek
28 Mar
AFC
2 : 0 Spakenburg
14 Mar
AFC
2 : 2 Katwijk
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Katwijk
(Away) 04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Katwijk
4 : 1 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1 Katwijk
09 May
Katwijk
4 : 0 Koninklijke HFC
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04 Aug
Lisse
2 : 1 Katwijk
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1 Katwijk
18 Apr
De Treffers
4 : 1 Katwijk
04 Apr
HSV Hoek
2 : 0 Katwijk
28 Mar
Barendrecht
2 : 3 Katwijk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quick Boys | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 69:35 | 66 |
| 2 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 3 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 60:37 | 63 |
| 4 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 76:55 | 56 |
| 5 | Hardenberg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 58:44 | 56 |
| 6 | Spakenburg | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 72:60 | 56 |
| 7 | Katwijk | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 60:55 | 52 |
| 8 | Jong Almere City | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 70:62 | 50 |
| 9 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 71:73 | 45 |
| 11 | AFC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 46:54 | 45 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 62:84 | 43 |
| 13 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 50:62 | 42 |
| 14 | GVVV | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:67 | 42 |
| 15 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 33:49 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 39:58 | 31 |
| 18 | ACV Assen | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 48:71 | 30 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
