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AFC Wimbledon U18 vs Chelsea U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Chelsea U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
AFC Wimbledon U18
15%
Draws
68%
Chelsea U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea U18 come out ahead of AFC Wimbledon U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chelsea U18 a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Chelsea U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
AFC Wimbledon U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U18 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon U18 Chelsea U18
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 23
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.29 3.39
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2016 FA Youth Cup
AFC Wimbledon U18 vs Chelsea U18
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon U18 10 / 100
Chelsea U18 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon U18 Chelsea U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Wimbledon U18 scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Chelsea U18 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AFC Wimbledon U18 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chelsea U18
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon U18

(Home)
10 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon U18
01 Feb
AFC Wimbledon U18
1 : 3
Leeds U18
31 Mar
AFC Wimbledon U18
0 : 3
Tottenham U18
01 Feb
Preston U18
3 : 2
AFC Wimbledon U18
10 Jan
AFC Wimbledon U18
3 : 0
Hull U18
Page 1 of 2

Chelsea U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Bournemouth U18
12 Sept
Brighton U18
1 : 5
Chelsea U18
05 Sept
Fulham U18
4 : 3
Chelsea U18
29 Aug
Chelsea U18
6 : 1
Reading U18
22 Aug
Birmingham U18
1 : 4
Chelsea U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wigan U18 1
Derby U18 0
Leeds U18 2
Manchester City U18 5
Tottenham U18 1
Middlesbrough U18 3
Sunderland U18 1
Norwich U18 4
Coventry U18 2
Charlton U18 1
Swansea U18 1
Arsenal U18 3
Nottingham U18 1
Birmingham U18 0
Liverpool U18 3
Cardiff U18 0
Crystal Palace U18 1
Aston Villa U18 5
Blackburn U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Preston U18 2
Oldham U18 0
Luton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Chelsea U18 5
Wolves U18 5
Metropolitan Police U18 0
Fulham U18 1
Reading U18 3
1/8-finals
Wigan U18 1
Manchester City U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 4
Norwich U18 5
Coventry U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Nottingham U18 1
Liverpool U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Blackburn U18 2
Preston U18 1
Luton U18 2
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Wolves U18 0
Reading U18 3
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 2
Norwich U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Liverpool U18 1
Blackburn U18 1
Luton U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
Reading U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
Arsenal U18 3
Blackburn U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 4