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AFC Wimbledon U18 vs Leeds U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Feb 1, 2023
1 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Williams M.
28' Event
Ferguson C.
91' Event
Andreucci B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Leeds U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AFC Wimbledon U18
15%
Draws
57%
Leeds U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leeds U18 come out ahead of AFC Wimbledon U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives AFC Wimbledon U18 a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Leeds U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leeds U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
AFC Wimbledon U18 Clean Sheet 19%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon U18 Leeds U18
Matches Played 7 33
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2023 FA Youth Cup
AFC Wimbledon U18 vs Leeds U18
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Wimbledon U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Leeds U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andreucci B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon U18 58 / 100
Leeds U18 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon U18 Leeds U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leeds U18 conceded in 97% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Wimbledon U18's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Away concern: Leeds U18 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leeds U18
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon U18

(Home)
10 Jan
Sheffield Utd U18
1 : 0
AFC Wimbledon U18
01 Feb
AFC Wimbledon U18
1 : 3
Leeds U18
31 Mar
AFC Wimbledon U18
0 : 3
Tottenham U18
01 Feb
Preston U18
3 : 2
AFC Wimbledon U18
10 Jan
AFC Wimbledon U18
3 : 0
Hull U18
Page 1 of 2

Leeds U18

(Away)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1
Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1
Leeds U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Watford U18 3
Everton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 0
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Manchester City U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Fleetwood Town U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Leeds U18 3
Ipswich U18 2
Nottingham U18 1
Port Vale U18 0
Liverpool U18 1
Stoke City U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Burnley U18 0
West Ham U18 1
Luton U18 3
QPR U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Preston U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Southampton U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Fulham U18 2
1/8-finals
Watford U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Manchester City U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Leeds U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
Liverpool U18 0
Stoke City U18 1
West Ham U18 4
Luton U18 2
Preston U18 3
Southampton U18 3
Fulham U18 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Manchester City U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
West Ham U18 4
Preston U18 1
Southampton U18 3
Semi-finals
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
West Ham U18 6
Southampton U18 1
Final
Arsenal U18 1
West Ham U18 5