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AFC Wimbledon W vs Bournemouth W

England England

Women's National League South
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South game between AFC Wimbledon W and Bournemouth W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AFC Wimbledon W
20%
Draws
45%
Bournemouth W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bournemouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bournemouth W come out ahead of AFC Wimbledon W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bournemouth W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Wimbledon W Bournemouth W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.7 2.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Bournemouth W
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Women's National League South
Bournemouth W vs AFC Wimbledon W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Bournemouth W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Wimbledon W 30 / 100
Bournemouth W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Wimbledon W Bournemouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AFC Wimbledon W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bournemouth W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

AFC Wimbledon W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Wimbledon W VS Bournemouth W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Wimbledon W

(Home)
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
12 Apr
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Exeter W
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Bournemouth W

(Away)
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Bournemouth W
4 : 1
Hashtag W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Watford W
2 : 4
Bournemouth W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 4 4 0 0 17:0 12
2 Fulham W 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
3 Bournemouth W 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Portsmouth W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
5 AFC Wimbledon W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
6 Real Bedford W 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
7 Exeter W 4 1 2 1 8:10 5
8 Swindon W 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
9 Lewes W 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
10 Hashtag W 4 0 2 2 3:11 2
11 Cheltenham W 4 0 1 3 6:14 1
12 Plymouth W 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)