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Afghanistan U23 vs Iran U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ghorbani M.
37' Event
Goudarzi H.
58' Event
Sayyadmanesh A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Iran U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Afghanistan U23
30%
Draws
39%
Iran U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iran U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Iran U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Afghanistan U23 taking it.
  • Iran U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iran U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Iran U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan U23 Iran U23
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.89 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.64 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
Afghanistan U23 vs Iran U23
0:4
Mar 29, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iran U23 vs Afghanistan U23
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afghanistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.32

Iran U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghorbani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goudarzi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan U23 35 / 100
Iran U23 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan U23 Iran U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Afghanistan U23 found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (19 games).

Iran U23 let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Afghanistan U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan U23 VS Iran U23
0.4 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
40% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
03 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Afghanistan U23
12 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 0
Afghanistan U23
09 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 4
Iran U23
Page 1 of 4

Iran U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
13 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 1
Lebanon U23
10 Jan
Iran U23
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Oman U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Myanmar U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Guam U23 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Iran U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Afghanistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 21:2 7
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
4 Maldives U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Laos U23 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
4 North Korea U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams