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Afghanistan U23 vs Iraq U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Thu, Oct 28, 2021
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2022. Iraq U23 are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Afghanistan U23 at 0.47 goals for, 2.89 against; Iraq U23 at 1.52 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Iraq U23 slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Iraq U23. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Afghanistan U23
15%
Draws
0%
Iraq U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afghanistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iraq U23 come out ahead of Afghanistan U23 on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Afghanistan U23 taking it.
  • Iraq U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Iraq U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afghanistan U23 Iraq U23
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 3 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Afghanistan U23 vs Iraq U23
0:0
Jul 19, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Iraq U23 vs Afghanistan U23
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afghanistan U23 85 / 100
Iraq U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afghanistan U23 Iraq U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afghanistan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Iraq U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Iraq U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Afghanistan U23 found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (19 games).

Scoring Trends

Afghanistan U23 VS Iraq U23
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Afghanistan U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
03 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Afghanistan U23
12 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 0
Afghanistan U23
09 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 4
Iran U23
Page 1 of 4

Iraq U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
25 Sept
Serbia U21
3 : 0
Iraq U23
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
14 Jan
Iraq U23
1 : 2
Australia U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tajikistan U23 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Bahrain U23 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Maldives U23 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Bangladesh U23 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Oman U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
3 China U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brunei U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Singapore U23 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Myanmar U23 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)