Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFK Vilnius vs Klaipedos FM

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2024
Sun, May 5, 2024
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bondarev D.
67' Event
Stonys V.
Own Goal
1' Event
Krukauskas U.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Klaipedos FM in this Lithuanian Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AFK Vilnius
15%
Draws
57%
Klaipedos FM
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Klaipedos FM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Klaipedos FM lately — more wins on the board than AFK Vilnius.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Klaipedos FM taking it.
  • Klaipedos FM arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Klaipedos FM, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Klaipedos FM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFK Vilnius Klaipedos FM
Matches Played 5 9
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1 1.22
Goals Conceded 3.8 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Lithuanian Cup
AFK Vilnius vs Klaipedos FM
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Klaipedos FM Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondarev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.29
Avg xA / game 1.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 10 / 100
Klaipedos FM 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFK Vilnius Klaipedos FM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Klaipedos FM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Klaipedos FM conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Klaipedos FM's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

AFK Vilnius found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Scoring Trends

AFK Vilnius VS Klaipedos FM
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3.8 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFK Vilnius

(Home)
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
0 : 3
Garliava
20 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
FK Babrungas
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
07 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
Zalgiris

Klaipedos FM

(Away)
19 May
Klaipedos FM
0 : 2
Dainava Alytus
28 Apr
Klaipedos FM
1 : 0
BE1 NFA
06 May
Klaipedos FM
2 : 3
Jonava
22 May
Klaipedos FM
1 : 4
Banga
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Nemunas 3
FK Sveikata Kybartai 1
Garliava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Tauras Taurage 0
FA Siauliai 4
FK Minija 1
Suduva 2
Viltis Vilnius 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
BE1 NFA 0
Ekranas 1
AFK Vilnius 1
Klaipedos FM 2
Riteriai 3
Banga 5
Euforija Vilnius 1
Transinvest 11
Zalgiris 2
FK Panevezys 1
VGTU Vilkai 1
Ukmerge 2
Sirijus 2
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Statyba-Sendvaris 1
Jonava 5
FK Atmosfera 6
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Dembava 3
FK Babrungas 4
Dainava Alytus 0
FC Hegelmann 2
1/8-finals
Nemunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 7
FA Siauliai 2
Suduva 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 2
Ekranas 1
Klaipedos FM 1
Banga 4
Transinvest 2
Zalgiris 1
Ukmerge 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Jonava 0
FK Atmosfera 2
FK Babrungas 2
FC Hegelmann 3
Quarter-finals
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
FA Siauliai 1
Nevezis Kedainiai 0
Banga 5
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Semi-finals
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Final
Banga 1
FC Hegelmann 0